Clade X
Pandemic Scenario - Clade X
Scenarios have been regularly used, like a 'war game' to simulate a global event such as a pandemic, which would assist governments and organisations to identify requirements for resources, communications, medical supplies, personnel and facilities so that if such an event did occur the response could be better managed.
Scenarios like Clade X are not planning in the sense of a plan to unleash a disease but rather to assist planning for a naturally occurring disease outbreak.
May 15, 2018: Clade X
The scenario begins with an outbreak of novel parainfluenza virus that is moderately contagious and moderately lethal and for which there are no effective medical countermeasures. The virus is called “parainfluenza clade X.” Outbreaks of disease first appear in Frankfurt, Germany, and Caracas, Venezuela, and are spreading person-to-person. The disease is spread primarily by coughing and causes severe symptoms requiring hospitalization and intensive care in about half of the people infected. Overall, 20% of the severely ill patients die.
As the narrative continues, the disease spreads within countries and internationally at an accelerating rate, overwhelming medical facilities. Outbreaks overseas start to infect US soldiers. The first US cases occur on a small college campus in New England after the return of a foreign exchange student. As the pandemic becomes increasingly severe, the EXCOMM must deal with a variety of diverse issues that have policy, political, and ethical dimensions.
Source: Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Clade X Exercise: Executive Summary DocumentSource
Source: Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Events 2018, Clade X https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events/2018_clade_x_exercise/